Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 9.109923e-01 1.142669 1.399830 1.703630 2.049916 2.429654 2.874844
2025-08-03 5.668012e-01 0.855415 1.214004 1.679381 2.254656 2.930462 3.772127
2025-08-10 3.680121e-01 0.673828 1.098400 1.698047 2.491268 3.474873 4.756393
2025-08-17 2.233832e-01 0.511136 0.961520 1.653099 2.627032 3.893349 5.607004
2025-08-24 1.541558e-01 0.435389 0.924663 1.728719 2.916619 4.515733 6.738750
2025-08-31 9.694374e-02 0.352547 0.852886 1.734734 3.100126 4.999441 7.705885
2025-09-07 6.905074e-02 0.315233 0.846858 1.836040 3.421707 5.679940 8.954165
2025-09-14 4.623242e-02 0.274868 0.823449 1.901325 3.688106 6.289796 10.123105
2025-09-21 2.839131e-02 0.232918 0.784403 1.930839 3.895807 6.819240 11.193242
2025-09-28 1.444501e-02 0.185666 0.718531 1.899774 3.999692 7.196463 12.057033
2025-10-05 7.795689e-03 0.158472 0.690308 1.932730 4.205608 7.727124 13.146922
2025-10-12 3.633453e-03 0.133482 0.658747 1.952821 4.387570 8.224179 14.197334
2025-10-19 9.394568e-04 0.102421 0.598559 1.907696 4.458122 8.560364 15.035826
2025-10-26 9.543534e-05 0.077408 0.543769 1.864181 4.526241 8.893291 15.877364
2025-11-02 4.423666e-07 0.062576 0.515789 1.875394 4.691654 9.382641 16.959960
2025-11-09 NaN 0.045110 0.464778 1.822844 4.733429 9.673598 17.750993
2025-11-16 NaN 0.040324 0.467159 1.901366 5.025895 10.376563 19.175045
2025-11-23 NaN 0.031533 0.442533 1.906607 5.176186 10.850015 20.258766
2025-11-30 NaN 0.029742 0.456008 2.014022 5.530656 11.667734 21.880935
2025-12-07 NaN 0.026111 0.455587 2.083242 5.811712 12.369122 23.335041
2025-12-14 NaN 0.021258 0.442293 2.114496 6.017260 12.948166 24.609046
2025-12-21 NaN 0.014934 0.408588 2.081339 6.088942 13.302097 25.538895
2025-12-28 NaN 0.011979 0.398594 2.116380 6.301651 13.898838 26.854490